Friday, November 17, 2006

Excellent play on Nov 17 OE day

I had 310 position of QQQQ NOV $45 ITM put. It closed at 44:30 on Nov 16,2006. The option closed at 0.70 on Nov 16 and my cost was 0.76

My balance will increase 1500 for every 5 cents increase of QQQQ NOV 45PUT.



The weak new house number made the premarket dipped 10 points for NAZDAQ. When I get to office, launched IB, I saw QQQQ was 44.06-44.08. And QQQQ NOV 45PUT was $0.9-0.95

It began to rise after opening, it rised to 44.18 at 10:00AM. I thought QQQQ could hit 44. So I waited. It began to drop from 10:00. At 11:00-11:15AM. It dropped to 44. I was very excited and thought my patience may pay off. I inputed $1.05 sell order first. QQQQ dropped as low as 43.96. The $1.05 order didn't hit. QQQQNOV $44 PUT was approaching 0.10. I thought bear spread could add my profit for additional 10 cents for each. So I sold 100 contracts of QQQQ NOV 44 PUT at 0.10. So I have 100 contracts sets of bear spread (sell $44 put and own $45 put). This is most success complicate option trade.

I plan three part play:
- Sell 100 contracts at around $1
- Sell other 110 contracts at around $1-$1.1
- Use 100 contracts to hold my 100 QQQQ 44 PUT positions.

And I tried to sell 100 contracts of $45 put at $1.00. They made deals at 11:15AM. At that time my total (paper+real) profit was $9000!!!!!. At that time my total balance of account was 44000. I expect QQQQ is drop more to around 43.85-43.90 area so that I can implement the second part selling. However the QQQQ stopped dropping at 11:!5AM and began to rise after 11:15.

Friday, November 10, 2006

Max pain web site "iqauto"

MAX pain

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Maximum-Pain Theory Options analysis



(Similar to a method by BCA Software)










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(This can take up to a minute)





Tiberiu Stef-Praun at Purdue University has been doing some research on Maximum Pain. Check out his site at http://market.cs.purdue.edu

His help was also instrumental in getting this calculator back online - Thanks Tiberiu!





There is no guarantee of data accuracy. DO NOT base trades on this data, and this site owner takes no responsibility for any financial losses.


Click here for RAW historical Maximum Pain Data







Data from cboe as of Fri Nov 10 15:10:28 2006 ET, delayed quotes.
goog - Nov06
Expires: Nov , 2006






































220.000 1828439000
230.000 1740803000
240.000 1653434000
250.000 1566336000
260.000 1479662000
270.000 1394457000
280.000 1310009000
290.000 1226094000
300.000 1142783000
310.000 1060429000
320.000 978602000
330.000 897930000
340.000 818147000
350.000 739459000
360.000 664302000
370.000 590783000
380.000 519076000
390.000 450108000
400.000 383526000
410.000 322937000
420.000 268682000
430.000 221672000
440.000 186094000
450.000 160026000
460.000 149630000 -Maximum-Pain Theory Value
470.000 154694000
480.000 181633000
490.000 225439000
500.000 282480000
510.000 362658000
520.000 453732000
530.000 551220000
540.000 653945000
550.000 759815000
560.000 868056000
570.000 977461000


Click here for a description of Max-Pain Theory by BCA Software







Put/Call Values





































220.000 1828439000 0
230.000 1740550000 253000
240.000 1652797000 637000
250.000 1565243000 1093000
260.000 1478018000 1644000
270.000 1392113000 2344000
280.000 1306853000 3156000
290.000 1222040000 4054000
300.000 1137751000 5032000
310.000 1054303000 6126000
320.000 971259000 7343000
330.000 888821000 9109000
340.000 807127000 11020000
350.000 726472000 12987000
360.000 648950000 15352000
370.000 572860000 17923000
380.000 498216000 20860000
390.000 425815000 24293000
400.000 355250000 28276000
410.000 289556000 33381000
420.000 228652000 40030000
430.000 172769000 48903000
440.000 124082000 62012000
450.000 81233000 78793000
460.000 48499000 101131000
470.000 25325000 129369000
480.000 13800000 167833000
490.000 6384000 219055000
500.000 1615000 280865000
510.000 258000 362400000
520.000 85000 453647000
530.000 15000 551205000
540.000 3000 653942000
550.000 2000 759813000
560.000 1000 868055000
570.000 0 977461000



Job 1459567 complete.


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